Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.158885 0.229615 0.310458 0.407365 0.518349 0.639774 0.781075
2025-11-23 0.058508 0.136101 0.243349 0.388769 0.570711 0.783142 1.043250
2025-11-30 0.025680 0.099745 0.220643 0.398986 0.633998 0.917974 1.274437
2025-12-07 0.006837 0.067834 0.192672 0.394097 0.672831 1.019931 1.464774
2025-12-14 0.000111 0.041111 0.161316 0.376238 0.688696 1.088976 1.611678
2025-12-21 NaN 0.034517 0.163364 0.406388 0.768012 1.237202 1.854902
2025-12-28 NaN 0.029429 0.166297 0.436833 0.847177 1.385019 2.097661
2026-01-04 NaN 0.022345 0.161350 0.452897 0.905280 1.505227 2.305977
2026-01-11 NaN 0.021288 0.171448 0.494204 0.999510 1.672678 2.573652
2026-01-18 NaN 0.018469 0.175286 0.524283 1.077408 1.818799 2.814787
2026-01-25 NaN 0.012294 0.165020 0.528079 1.116250 1.913092 2.990493
2026-02-01 NaN 0.004308 0.137192 0.495983 1.099787 1.932547 3.070448
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000223 0.106669 0.454507 1.068842 1.934500 3.132024
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.091166 0.440225 1.078430 1.990952 3.263678
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.086971 0.449689 1.125025 2.097825 3.460193
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.077405 0.444854 1.147782 2.171282 3.613089
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.063383 0.425699 1.145515 2.208856 3.718435
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.068782 0.457882 1.229302 2.367984 3.983852
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.074237 0.490278 1.313559 2.527938 4.250578
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.074093 0.507351 1.372010 2.651473 4.469494
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.083650 0.551173 1.475825 2.839453 4.773598
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.088838 0.583022 1.559479 2.998994 5.040389
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.083921 0.587037 1.596092 3.091959 5.219537